Predicting who is going to win the Oscars is always a favorite pastime for film fans, yet while most simply focus on the major categories there are some truly geeky cinephiles out there that like to take a shot at all twenty-four. I'm one of those geeks. I follow each Oscar season very closely, seeing most nominees, and following trade reports about how each race and every contender is sizing up.

So here they are: my predictions across the entire ballot for the 2012 Academy Awards. Hopefully this can help serve as a crib sheet for your own Oscar predictions, particularly in the more obscure categories.

In each category I list all of the nominees, then who I think WILL WIN (not necessarily who I want to, but who I'm predicting), and end with UPSET POTENTIAL and designations of "Strong", "Possible", "Weak", and "None" (with reasoning for each, and the nominees that may play spoiler).

 



BEST PICTURE

The Artist
The Descendants
Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close
The Help
Hugo
Midnight in Paris
Moneyball
The Tree of Life
War Horse

WILL WIN: The Artist
oscar.go.com/nominees/best-picture/the-artist

UPSET POTENTIAL: Weak, but if there is one it’ll be Scorsese’s Hugo which leads all films with 11 nominations.  (The Artist is second in nominations with 10.)


BEST DIRECTOR