WILL WIN: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
oscar.go.com/nominees/actor-in-a-supporting-role/christopher-plummer

UPSET POTENTIAL: None. This is Von Trapp's . . . er, Plummer’s.


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help

WILL WIN: Octavia Spencer, The Help
oscar.go.com/nominees/actress-in-a-supporting-role/octavia-spencer

UPSET POTENTIAL: Weak, but Bejo could benefit from love for The Artist.


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
J.C. Chandor, Margin Call
Asghar Farhadi, A Separation
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo, Bridesmaids

WILL WIN: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
oscar.go.com/nominees/writing-original-screenplay/midnight-in-paris

UPSET POTENTIAL: Strong. The Artist is a real contender here, but voters will likely go with the revered Allen. They love him, plus they’ll give Hazanavicius his Oscar in the Director category.


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Alexander Payne, Nat Faxton and Jim Rash, The Descendants
John Logan, Hugo
George Clooney, Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon, The Ides of March
Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian, Moneyball
Bridget O'Connor and Peter Straughn, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy

WILL WIN: John Logan, Hugo
oscar.go.com/nominees/writing-adapted-screenplay/hugo

UPSET POTENTIAL: Strong. The Academy loves Alexander Payne; his screenplays are always nominated, and he’s also won. But this is an easy category to give Hugo some love.


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

A Cat in Paris
Chico & Rita
Kung Fu Panda 2
Puss in Boots
Rango