Oscars 2012: One Movie Critic Weighs In
- Friday, February 24, 2012
WILL WIN: Christopher Plummer, Beginners
UPSET POTENTIAL: None. This is Von Trapp's . . . er, Plummer’s.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help
WILL WIN: Octavia Spencer, The Help
UPSET POTENTIAL: Weak, but Bejo could benefit from love for The Artist.
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
J.C. Chandor, Margin Call
Asghar Farhadi, A Separation
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Kristen Wiig and Annie Mumolo, Bridesmaids
WILL WIN: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
UPSET POTENTIAL: Strong. The Artist is a real contender here, but voters will likely go with the revered Allen. They love him, plus they’ll give Hazanavicius his Oscar in the Director category.
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Alexander Payne, Nat Faxton and Jim Rash, The Descendants
John Logan, Hugo
George Clooney, Grant Heslov and Beau Willimon, The Ides of March
Aaron Sorkin and Steven Zaillian, Moneyball
Bridget O'Connor and Peter Straughn, Tinker, Tailor, Soldier, Spy
WILL WIN: John Logan, Hugo
UPSET POTENTIAL: Strong. The Academy loves Alexander Payne; his screenplays are always nominated, and he’s also won. But this is an easy category to give Hugo some love.
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